• Essay

The California home insurance conundrum

As a California homeowner, I’ve watched with dismay as homeowner insurance provider after homeowner insurance provider have fled the state in the face of wildfire risk.

It was quite the shock when I discovered recently (HT: Axios Markets newsletter) that, according to NerdWallet, California actually has some of the cheapest homeowners insurance rates in the country!

Data Analysis

Homeowners Insurance Average Cost by State (2024)

Source: Bankrate / Infogram
Rank / State Avg Annual Premium ($300k Dwelling) vs National Average ($1,759)
1. Florida $5,538 / yr +215%
2. Louisiana $4,863 / yr +176%
3. Oklahoma $4,570 / yr +160%
21. California $1,452 / yr -17% (Artificially Suppressed)
50. Hawaii $582 / yr -67%

*Note: California's Proposition 103 regulatory regime kept headline premium rates below the national average despite soaring wildfire loss costs, contributing to insurer non-renewals.

It begs the Econ 101 question — is it really that the cost of wildfires are too high? Or that the price insurance companies can charge (something heavily regulated by state insurance commissions) is kept too low / not allowed to vary enough based on actual fire risk?

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